A bet is a sentence with a price

<p>Most opinions are free. That's their problem. You can say 'this will probably work' for years without ever being wrong in a way that costs anything.</p> <p>A prediction market removes that comfort. To take a position you have to write a sentence that can be resolved — something with a date, a condition, a yes or no — and then attach a number to how much you believe it. Belief stops being a mood

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